TON / UNI ratio and spread
1 TON = 0.2291607 UNI. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.883 and the correlation between the legs is 0.54.
If you hold TON · If you hold UNI
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Key numbers
over 692 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.54, with a hedge ratio of 0.88. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at 1.14 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 56 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 2% of the way from the low to the high of the last 692 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 513 candles: 3. Closed by a return to the norm: 2. The median return took 84 days, the longest one 113 days.
The last closed one ran from 10.11.2025 to 03.01.2026, 54 days: peak z = -3.17, UNI was expensive against TON.
One is running right now: it started on 11.04.2026, has lasted 80 days, peak z = 4.76, TON was expensive against UNI. It has not returned to the norm yet.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 84 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.11.2025 — 03.01.2026 | UNI | -3.17 | 54 d |
| 09.07.2025 — 30.10.2025 | UNI | -2.31 | 113 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many UNI is 1 TON?
1 TON is worth 0.229161 UNI at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the TON/UNI range?
Over the last 692 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.210194 (11.11.2025) and 1.12925 (19.08.2024).
Are TON and UNI correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between TON and UNI is 0.54, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the TON/UNI spread z-score now?
The z-score is 1.14 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is TON/UNI suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.54 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 56 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do TON and UNI diverge?
Over 513 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 3 times. The median return to the norm took 84 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.