ADA / TON ratio and spread
1 ADA = 0.1276875 TON. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.169 and the correlation between the legs is 0.65.
If you hold ADA · If you hold TON
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Key numbers
over 275 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.65, with a hedge ratio of 1.17. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at -1.93 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
The spread has not shown mean reversion over the sample: estimates longer than the available history are discarded rather than reported. Trading this pair on reversion has no statistical footing here.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 17% of the way from the low to the high of the last 275 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 96 candles: 1, and none of them has closed with a return to the norm yet.
One is running right now: it started on 11.04.2026, has lasted 80 days, peak z = -5.80, TON was expensive against ADA. It has not returned to the norm yet.
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many TON is 1 ADA?
1 ADA is worth 0.127688 TON at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the ADA/TON range?
Over the last 275 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.0905999 (28.06.2026) and 0.310076 (03.10.2025).
Are ADA and TON correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between ADA and TON is 0.65, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the ADA/TON spread z-score now?
The z-score is -1.93 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is ADA/TON suitable for a pair trade?
Not on a reversion thesis. The spread has not returned to its mean within the available history, so there is nothing to trade back to.
How often do ADA and TON diverge?
Over 96 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 1 times, and none of those divergences has closed with a return to the norm yet.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.