BTC / TON ratio and spread
1 BTC = 49841.51 TON. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.608 and the correlation between the legs is 0.53.
If you hold BTC · If you hold TON
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Key numbers
over 275 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.53, with a hedge ratio of 0.61. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at -1.93 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 86 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits mid-range — 66% of the way from the low to the high of the last 275 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 96 candles: 1, and none of them has closed with a return to the norm yet.
One is running right now: it started on 05.05.2026, has lasted 56 days, peak z = -4.52, TON was expensive against BTC. It has not returned to the norm yet.
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many TON is 1 BTC?
1 BTC is worth 49841.5 TON at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the BTC/TON range?
Over the last 275 daily candles the ratio traded between 28107.4 (07.05.2026) and 61002.2 (22.12.2025).
Are BTC and TON correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between BTC and TON is 0.53, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the BTC/TON spread z-score now?
The z-score is -1.93 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is BTC/TON suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.53 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 86 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do BTC and TON diverge?
Over 96 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 1 times, and none of those divergences has closed with a return to the norm yet.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.