AVAX / STX ratio and spread
1 AVAX = 26.45 STX. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.935 and the correlation between the legs is 0.70.
If you hold AVAX · If you hold STX
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Key numbers
over 398 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move closely together — correlation of daily log returns is 0.70. The fitted hedge ratio is 0.93, meaning roughly 0.93 units of STX exposure balance one unit of AVAX.
The spread is at -0.92 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 33 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 11% of the way from the low to the high of the last 398 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 219 candles: 4. Closed by a return to the norm: 3. The median return took 27 days, the longest one 38 days.
The last closed one ran from 23.08.2026 to 30.09.2026, 38 days: peak z = -3.38, STX was expensive against AVAX.
One is running right now: it started on 09.10.2026, has lasted 22 days, peak z = -2.45, STX was expensive against AVAX. It has not returned to the norm yet.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 27 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.08.2026 — 30.09.2026 | STX | -3.38 | 38 d |
| 25.07.2026 — 21.08.2026 | AVAX | 3.58 | 27 d |
| 19.06.2026 — 25.06.2026 | STX | -2.10 | 6 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many STX is 1 AVAX?
1 AVAX is worth 26.4523 STX at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the AVAX/STX range?
Over the last 398 daily candles the ratio traded between 23.0767 (16.10.2026) and 55.06 (15.08.2026).
Are AVAX and STX correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between AVAX and STX is 0.70, which counts as a strong link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the AVAX/STX spread z-score now?
The z-score is -0.92 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is AVAX/STX suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.70 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 33 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do AVAX and STX diverge?
Over 219 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 4 times. The median return to the norm took 27 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.