AVAX / ONDO ratio and spread
1 AVAX = 21.79 ONDO. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.902 and the correlation between the legs is 0.72.
If you hold AVAX · If you hold ONDO
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Key numbers
over 568 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move closely together — correlation of daily log returns is 0.72. The fitted hedge ratio is 0.90, meaning roughly 0.90 units of ONDO exposure balance one unit of AVAX.
The spread is at 0.40 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 68 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits mid-range — 29% of the way from the low to the high of the last 568 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 389 candles: 2. Closed by a return to the norm: 2. The median return took 64 days, the longest one 117 days.
The last closed one ran from 07.05.2026 to 01.09.2026, 117 days: peak z = -4.44, ONDO was expensive against AVAX.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 64 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07.05.2026 — 01.09.2026 | ONDO | -4.44 | 117 d |
| 09.10.2025 — 20.10.2025 | AVAX | 2.02 | 11 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many ONDO is 1 AVAX?
1 AVAX is worth 21.789 ONDO at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the AVAX/ONDO range?
Over the last 568 daily candles the ratio traded between 15.2536 (30.07.2026) and 38.0151 (23.09.2025).
Are AVAX and ONDO correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between AVAX and ONDO is 0.72, which counts as a strong link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the AVAX/ONDO spread z-score now?
The z-score is 0.40 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is AVAX/ONDO suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.72 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 68 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do AVAX and ONDO diverge?
Over 389 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 2 times. The median return to the norm took 64 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.