AVAX / ORCA ratio and spread
1 AVAX = 4.489 ORCA. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.057 and the correlation between the legs is 0.49.
If you hold AVAX · If you hold ORCA
AVAX is cheaper against ORCA than in 1 % of the time over 1.8 years. If you hold ORCA, this is worth a look at rotating into AVAX.
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Key numbers
over 670 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.49, with a hedge ratio of 1.06. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at -1.49 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 34 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 5% of the way from the low to the high of the last 670 daily candles.
Frequently asked
How many ORCA is 1 AVAX?
1 AVAX is worth 4.48887 ORCA at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the AVAX/ORCA range?
Over the last 670 daily candles the ratio traded between 3.81916 (02.05.2026) and 16.9209 (23.09.2025).
Are AVAX and ORCA correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between AVAX and ORCA is 0.49, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the AVAX/ORCA spread z-score now?
The z-score is -1.49 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is AVAX/ORCA suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.49 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 34 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.