ORCA / AVAX ratio and spread
1 ORCA = 0.2300893 AVAX. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.679 and the correlation between the legs is 0.49.
If you hold ORCA · If you hold AVAX
ORCA has been more expensive against AVAX than now only 1 % of the time over 1.8 years. If you hold ORCA, this is worth a look at rotating into AVAX.
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Key numbers
over 670 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.49, with a hedge ratio of 0.68. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread currently sits at 2.19 standard deviations above its rolling mean — ORCA is expensive relative to AVAX by the standards of this window.
Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 21 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.
The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 84% of the way from the low to the high of the last 670 daily candles.
Frequently asked
How many AVAX is 1 ORCA?
1 ORCA is worth 0.230089 AVAX at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the ORCA/AVAX range?
Over the last 670 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.0590985 (23.09.2025) and 0.261838 (02.05.2026).
Are ORCA and AVAX correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between ORCA and AVAX is 0.49, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the ORCA/AVAX spread z-score now?
The z-score is 2.19 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is ORCA/AVAX suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.49 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 21 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.