ADA / ONDO ratio and spread
1 ADA = 0.4940965 ONDO. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.050 and the correlation between the legs is 0.76.
If you hold ADA · If you hold ONDO
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Key numbers
over 568 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move closely together — correlation of daily log returns is 0.76. The fitted hedge ratio is 1.05, meaning roughly 1.05 units of ONDO exposure balance one unit of ADA.
The spread is at -0.43 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 131 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 14% of the way from the low to the high of the last 568 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 389 candles: 2. Closed by a return to the norm: 2. The median return took 104 days, the longest one 109 days.
The last closed one ran from 04.05.2026 to 21.08.2026, 109 days: peak z = -5.03, ONDO was expensive against ADA.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 104 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04.05.2026 — 21.08.2026 | ONDO | -5.03 | 109 d |
| 18.12.2025 — 26.03.2026 | ADA | 2.92 | 98 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many ONDO is 1 ADA?
1 ADA is worth 0.494097 ONDO at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the ADA/ONDO range?
Over the last 568 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.394737 (28.07.2026) and 1.08508 (26.02.2026).
Are ADA and ONDO correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between ADA and ONDO is 0.76, which counts as a strong link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the ADA/ONDO spread z-score now?
The z-score is -0.43 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is ADA/ONDO suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.76 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 131 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do ADA and ONDO diverge?
Over 389 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 2 times. The median return to the norm took 104 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.