ADA / PEPE ratio and spread
1 ADA = 40471.51 PEPE. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.316 and the correlation between the legs is 0.60.
If you hold ADA · If you hold PEPE
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Key numbers
over 1274 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.60, with a hedge ratio of 0.32. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at -0.89 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 273 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 3% of the way from the low to the high of the last 1274 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 1095 candles: 6. Closed by a return to the norm: 6. The median return took 112 days, the longest one 258 days.
The last closed one ran from 21.11.2025 to 06.08.2026, 258 days: peak z = -3.14, PEPE was expensive against ADA.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 112 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.11.2025 — 06.08.2026 | PEPE | -3.14 | 258 d |
| 15.08.2025 — 10.10.2025 | ADA | 2.05 | 56 d |
| 05.06.2025 — 13.07.2025 | PEPE | -2.35 | 38 d |
| 09.11.2024 — 26.02.2025 | ADA | 5.68 | 109 d |
| 24.04.2024 — 24.09.2024 | PEPE | -2.30 | 153 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many PEPE is 1 ADA?
1 ADA is worth 40471.5 PEPE at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the ADA/PEPE range?
Over the last 1274 daily candles the ratio traded between 23103.6 (14.11.2024) and 557872 (02.02.2024).
Are ADA and PEPE correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between ADA and PEPE is 0.60, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the ADA/PEPE spread z-score now?
The z-score is -0.89 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is ADA/PEPE suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.60 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 273 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do ADA and PEPE diverge?
Over 1095 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 6 times. The median return to the norm took 112 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.