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0.4591748 BCH
AAVE = 126.87 USDT
BCH = 276.3 USDT

AAVE / BCH ratio and spread

1 AAVE = 0.4591748 BCH. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.828 and the correlation between the legs is 0.56.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 0.60 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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If you hold AAVE · If you hold BCH

Hedge ratio β 0.828
Spread z-score 0.60
Percentile, 6.1 y 50
Correlation 0.56
Half-life 77.0 1d
The spread is within ±2σ — the pair is near its own norm.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.459175
Change 1d-2.10%
Change 7d-5.88%
Change 30d-20.46%
Period high1.20834
Period low0.114921
Hedge ratio β0.828
Spread z-score0.60
Correlation0.56
Half-life77 d

over 2210 daily candles

What the numbers say

The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.56, with a hedge ratio of 0.83. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.

The spread is at 0.60 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 77 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 31% of the way from the low to the high of the last 2210 daily candles.

When this happened before

Divergences over 2031 candles: 13. Closed by a return to the norm: 13. The median return took 64 days, the longest one 208 days.

The last closed one ran from 16.06.2026 to 28.10.2026, 134 days: peak z = 3.90, AAVE was expensive against BCH.

For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 64 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.

Period Expensive leg Peak z Return
16.06.2026 — 28.10.2026 AAVE 3.90 134 d
27.10.2025 — 23.05.2026 BCH -3.53 208 d
12.12.2024 — 28.02.2025 AAVE 2.82 78 d
20.08.2024 — 19.11.2024 AAVE 2.64 91 d
27.03.2024 — 24.06.2024 BCH -3.29 89 d

A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.

Frequently asked

How many BCH is 1 AAVE?

1 AAVE is worth 0.459175 BCH at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the AAVE/BCH range?

Over the last 2210 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.114921 (01.11.2020) and 1.20834 (05.02.2021).

Are AAVE and BCH correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between AAVE and BCH is 0.56, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the AAVE/BCH spread z-score now?

The z-score is 0.60 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is AAVE/BCH suitable for a pair trade?

The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.56 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 77 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.

How often do AAVE and BCH diverge?

Over 2031 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 13 times. The median return to the norm took 64 days.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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