XAUT / POL ratio and spread

1 XAUT = 41647.56 POL. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.180 and the correlation between the legs is 0.32.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is -1.31 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.

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If you hold XAUT · If you hold POL

Hedge ratio β 0.180

Spread z-score -1.31

Correlation 0.32

Half-life 25.7 1d

The spread is within ±2σ — the pair is near its own norm.

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Key numbers

Current ratio41647.6

Change 1d-0.59%

Change 7d8.28%

Change 30d-7.52%

Period high59064.7

Period low34539.3

Hedge ratio β0.180

Spread z-score-1.31

Correlation0.32

Half-life26 d

over 199 daily candles

How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.32. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread is at -1.31 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 26 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 29% of the way from the low to the high of the last 199 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many POL is 1 XAUT?

1 XAUT is worth 41647.6 POL at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the XAUT/POL range?

Over the last 199 daily candles the ratio traded between 34539.3 (28.09.2026) and 59064.7 (13.08.2026).

Are XAUT and POL correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between XAUT and POL is 0.32, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the XAUT/POL spread z-score now?

The z-score is -1.31 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is XAUT/POL suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.32, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.