BTC / XAUT ratio and spread
1 BTC = 19.92 XAUT. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.715 and the correlation between the legs is 0.52.
If you hold BTC · If you hold XAUT
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Key numbers
over 217 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.52, with a hedge ratio of 0.71. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at 1.44 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 100 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 86% of the way from the low to the high of the last 217 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 38 candles: 1, and none of them has closed with a return to the norm yet.
One is running right now: it started on 22.09.2026, has lasted 36 days, peak z = 2.73, BTC was expensive against XAUT. It has not returned to the norm yet.
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many XAUT is 1 BTC?
1 BTC is worth 19.9209 XAUT at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the BTC/XAUT range?
Over the last 217 daily candles the ratio traded between 14.2706 (06.06.2026) and 20.8105 (05.10.2026).
Are BTC and XAUT correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between BTC and XAUT is 0.52, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the BTC/XAUT spread z-score now?
The z-score is 1.44 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is BTC/XAUT suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.52 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 100 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do BTC and XAUT diverge?
Over 38 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 1 times, and none of those divergences has closed with a return to the norm yet.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.