TRUMP / WLD ratio and spread
1 TRUMP = 4.339 WLD. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.262 and the correlation between the legs is 0.49.
If you hold TRUMP · If you hold WLD
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Key numbers
over 652 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.49, with a hedge ratio of 1.26. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at -0.45 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 36 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 5% of the way from the low to the high of the last 652 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 473 candles: 4. Closed by a return to the norm: 4. The median return took 46 days, the longest one 89 days.
The last closed one ran from 25.05.2026 to 22.08.2026, 89 days: peak z = -5.43, WLD was expensive against TRUMP.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 46 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.05.2026 — 22.08.2026 | WLD | -5.43 | 89 d |
| 27.03.2026 — 08.05.2026 | TRUMP | 2.11 | 42 d |
| 08.09.2025 — 27.10.2025 | WLD | -5.19 | 49 d |
| 22.07.2025 — 31.08.2025 | WLD | -2.66 | 40 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many WLD is 1 TRUMP?
1 TRUMP is worth 4.33904 WLD at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the TRUMP/WLD range?
Over the last 652 daily candles the ratio traded between 2.7113 (17.06.2026) and 34.5593 (19.01.2025).
Are TRUMP and WLD correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between TRUMP and WLD is 0.49, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the TRUMP/WLD spread z-score now?
The z-score is -0.45 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is TRUMP/WLD suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.49 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 36 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do TRUMP and WLD diverge?
Over 473 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 4 times. The median return to the norm took 46 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.