RSR / TON ratio and spread
1 RSR = 0.0009675 TON. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.159 and the correlation between the legs is 0.49.
If you hold RSR · If you hold TON
RSR is cheaper against TON than in 1 % of the time over 1.9 years. If you hold TON, this is worth a look at rotating into RSR.
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Key numbers
over 692 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.49, with a hedge ratio of 1.16. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread currently sits at -2.16 standard deviations from its rolling mean — RSR is cheap relative to TON by the standards of this window.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 50 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 12% of the way from the low to the high of the last 692 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 513 candles: 3. Closed by a return to the norm: 2. The median return took 68 days, the longest one 124 days.
The last closed one ran from 16.12.2025 to 19.04.2026, 124 days: peak z = -3.25, TON was expensive against RSR.
One is running right now: it started on 06.05.2026, has lasted 55 days, peak z = -3.48, TON was expensive against RSR. It has not returned to the norm yet.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 68 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.12.2025 — 19.04.2026 | TON | -3.25 | 124 d |
| 15.10.2025 — 27.10.2025 | RSR | 2.05 | 12 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many TON is 1 RSR?
1 RSR is worth 0.0009675 TON at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the RSR/TON range?
Over the last 692 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.000551658 (14.08.2024) and 0.00395735 (03.12.2024).
Are RSR and TON correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between RSR and TON is 0.49, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the RSR/TON spread z-score now?
The z-score is -2.16 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is RSR/TON suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.49 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 50 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do RSR and TON diverge?
Over 513 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 3 times. The median return to the norm took 68 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.