AVAX / CELO ratio and spread
1 AVAX = 111.73 CELO. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.775 and the correlation between the legs is 0.68.
If you hold AVAX · If you hold CELO
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Key numbers
over 398 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.68, with a hedge ratio of 0.77. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at 1.02 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 10 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.
The current ratio sits mid-range — 72% of the way from the low to the high of the last 398 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 219 candles: 2. Closed by a return to the norm: 1. The median return took 50 days, the longest one 50 days.
The last closed one ran from 15.06.2026 to 04.08.2026, 50 days: peak z = -4.74, CELO was expensive against AVAX.
One is running right now: it started on 21.09.2026, has lasted 40 days, peak z = 2.93, AVAX was expensive against CELO. It has not returned to the norm yet.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 50 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.06.2026 — 04.08.2026 | CELO | -4.74 | 50 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many CELO is 1 AVAX?
1 AVAX is worth 111.733 CELO at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the AVAX/CELO range?
Over the last 398 daily candles the ratio traded between 61.781 (28.06.2026) and 131.586 (13.03.2026).
Are AVAX and CELO correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between AVAX and CELO is 0.68, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the AVAX/CELO spread z-score now?
The z-score is 1.02 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is AVAX/CELO suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.68 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 10 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do AVAX and CELO diverge?
Over 219 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 2 times. The median return to the norm took 50 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.