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0.6469577 ORCA

TRUMP = 1.882 USDT

ORCA = 2.909 USDT

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TRUMP / ORCA ratio and spread

1 TRUMP = 0.6469577 ORCA. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.454 and the correlation between the legs is 0.33.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is -4.10 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.

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If you hold TRUMP · If you hold ORCA

TRUMP is cheaper against ORCA than in 0 % of the time over 1.7 years. If you hold ORCA, this is worth a look at rotating into TRUMP.

Hedge ratio β 1.454

Spread z-score -4.10

Percentile, 1.7 y 0

Correlation 0.33

Half-life 87.6 1d

The spread is beyond −2σ: historically such a divergence closed in about 88 days.

Alerts

Key numbers

Current ratio0.646958

Change 1d-21.27%

Change 7d-48.93%

Change 30d-51.91%

Period high16.7877

Period low0.646958

Hedge ratio β1.454

Spread z-score-4.10

Correlation0.33

Half-life88 d

over 627 daily candles

How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.33. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread currently sits at -4.10 standard deviations from its rolling mean — TRUMP is cheap relative to ORCA by the standards of this window.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 88 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 0% of the way from the low to the high of the last 627 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many ORCA is 1 TRUMP?

1 TRUMP is worth 0.646958 ORCA at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the TRUMP/ORCA range?

Over the last 627 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.646958 (07.10.2026) and 16.7877 (19.01.2025).

Are TRUMP and ORCA correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between TRUMP and ORCA is 0.33, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the TRUMP/ORCA spread z-score now?

The z-score is -4.10 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is TRUMP/ORCA suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.33, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.