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1.51 TRUMP

ORCA = 2.853 USDT

TRUMP = 1.89 USDT

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ORCA / TRUMP ratio and spread

1 ORCA = 1.51 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.361 and the correlation between the legs is 0.33.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 4.56 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.

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If you hold ORCA · If you hold TRUMP

ORCA has been more expensive against TRUMP than now only 0 % of the time over 1.7 years. If you hold ORCA, this is worth a look at rotating into TRUMP.

Hedge ratio β 0.361

Spread z-score 4.56

Percentile, 1.7 y 100

Correlation 0.33

Half-life 39.5 1d

The spread is beyond +2σ: historically such a divergence closed in about 39 days.

Alerts

Key numbers

Current ratio1.50952

Change 1d24.04%

Change 7d91.23%

Change 30d103.06%

Period high1.50952

Period low0.0595676

Hedge ratio β0.361

Spread z-score4.56

Correlation0.33

Half-life39 d

over 627 daily candles

How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.33. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread currently sits at 4.56 standard deviations above its rolling mean — ORCA is expensive relative to TRUMP by the standards of this window.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 39 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 100% of the way from the low to the high of the last 627 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many TRUMP is 1 ORCA?

1 ORCA is worth 1.50952 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the ORCA/TRUMP range?

Over the last 627 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.0595676 (19.01.2025) and 1.50952 (07.10.2026).

Are ORCA and TRUMP correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between ORCA and TRUMP is 0.33, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the ORCA/TRUMP spread z-score now?

The z-score is 4.56 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is ORCA/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.33, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.