DOGE / TRUMP ratio and spread
1 DOGE = 0.0443296 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.519 and the correlation between the legs is 0.61.
If you hold DOGE · If you hold TRUMP
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Key numbers
over 652 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.61, with a hedge ratio of 0.52. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.
The spread is at -0.24 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 25 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.
The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 84% of the way from the low to the high of the last 652 daily candles.
When this happened before
Divergences over 473 candles: 2. Closed by a return to the norm: 2. The median return took 73 days, the longest one 102 days.
The last closed one ran from 29.04.2026 to 12.06.2026, 44 days: peak z = 3.53, DOGE was expensive against TRUMP.
For a holder this answers not “what to do” but “how long it usually took”: the median return is 73 days. That is no guarantee — past divergences closed, this one may not.
| Period | Expensive leg | Peak z | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.04.2026 — 12.06.2026 | DOGE | 3.53 | 44 d |
| 17.07.2025 — 27.10.2025 | DOGE | 4.04 | 102 d |
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many TRUMP is 1 DOGE?
1 DOGE is worth 0.0443296 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the DOGE/TRUMP range?
Over the last 652 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.00530787 (19.01.2025) and 0.0517798 (18.05.2026).
Are DOGE and TRUMP correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between DOGE and TRUMP is 0.61, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the DOGE/TRUMP spread z-score now?
The z-score is -0.24 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is DOGE/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?
The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.61 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 25 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.
How often do DOGE and TRUMP diverge?
Over 473 daily candles the spread left ±2σ 2 times. The median return to the norm took 73 days.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.