PAIR.TRADING

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0.5031706 TRUMP

U = 0.9998 USDT
TRUMP = 1.987 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

U / TRUMP ratio and spread

1 U = 0.5031706 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is -0.001 and the correlation between the legs is -0.05.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is -1.14 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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Hedge ratio β -0.001
Spread z-score -1.14
Correlation -0.05
Half-life 7.0 1d
β is negative: the legs moved in opposite directions, so this does not work as a pair.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.503171
Change 1d2.16%
Change 7d21.48%
Change 30d-26.64%
Period high0.708569
Period low0.172925
Hedge ratio β-0.001
Spread z-score-1.14
Correlation-0.05
Half-life7 d

over 244 daily candles

What the numbers say

The fitted hedge ratio is negative: over the window U and TRUMP moved in opposite directions. A pair trade assumes the legs move together, so this combination does not qualify as one.

The spread is at -1.14 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 7 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 62% of the way from the low to the high of the last 244 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many TRUMP is 1 U?

1 U is worth 0.503171 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the U/TRUMP range?

Over the last 244 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.172925 (14.01.2026) and 0.708569 (13.08.2026).

Are U and TRUMP correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between U and TRUMP is -0.05, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the U/TRUMP spread z-score now?

The z-score is -1.14 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is U/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?

No. The fitted hedge ratio is negative, meaning the legs moved in opposite directions over the window — the market-neutral construction that pair trading relies on does not hold here.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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