TRUMP / ALICE ratio and spread
1 TRUMP = 10.47 ALICE. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 1.167 and the correlation between the legs is 0.29.
If you hold TRUMP · If you hold ALICE
TRUMP is cheaper against ALICE than in 0 % of the time over 1.0 years. If you hold ALICE, this is worth a look at rotating into TRUMP.
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Key numbers
over 369 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.29. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.
The spread currently sits at -2.68 standard deviations from its rolling mean — TRUMP is cheap relative to ALICE by the standards of this window.
Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 27 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 9% of the way from the low to the high of the last 369 daily candles.
Frequently asked
How many ALICE is 1 TRUMP?
1 TRUMP is worth 10.4654 ALICE at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the TRUMP/ALICE range?
Over the last 369 daily candles the ratio traded between 7.94053 (15.08.2026) and 36.1093 (14.03.2026).
Are TRUMP and ALICE correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between TRUMP and ALICE is 0.29, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the TRUMP/ALICE spread z-score now?
The z-score is -2.68 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is TRUMP/ALICE suitable for a pair trade?
Weakly. Correlation is only 0.29, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.