NIGHT / TRUMP ratio and spread

1 NIGHT = 0.0191258 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.788 and the correlation between the legs is 0.25.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 1.32 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.

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If you hold NIGHT · If you hold TRUMP

Hedge ratio β 0.788

Spread z-score 1.32

Correlation 0.25

Half-life 19.6 1d

The spread is within ±2σ — the pair is near its own norm.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.0191258

Change 1d-2.16%

Change 7d63.79%

Change 30d123.91%

Period high0.0208163

Period low0.0061875

Hedge ratio β0.788

Spread z-score1.32

Correlation0.25

Half-life20 d

over 206 daily candles

How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.25. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread is at 1.32 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 20 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 88% of the way from the low to the high of the last 206 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many TRUMP is 1 NIGHT?

1 NIGHT is worth 0.0191258 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the NIGHT/TRUMP range?

Over the last 206 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.0061875 (22.08.2026) and 0.0208163 (05.06.2026).

Are NIGHT and TRUMP correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between NIGHT and TRUMP is 0.25, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the NIGHT/TRUMP spread z-score now?

The z-score is 1.32 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is NIGHT/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.25, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.