PAIR.TRADING

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0.0747713 TRUMP

FF = 0.14715 USDT
TRUMP = 1.968 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

FF / TRUMP ratio and spread

1 FF = 0.0747713 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.395 and the correlation between the legs is 0.29.

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Hedge ratio β 0.395
Spread z-score 2.04
Correlation 0.29
Half-life 11.2 1d
The spread is beyond +2σ: historically such a divergence closed in about 11 days.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.0747713
Change 1d0.15%
Change 7d14.65%
Change 30d61.80%
Period high0.0842157
Period low0.0143768
Hedge ratio β0.395
Spread z-score2.04
Correlation0.29
Half-life11 d

over 352 daily candles

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.29. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread currently sits at 2.04 standard deviations above its rolling mean — FF is expensive relative to TRUMP by the standards of this window.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 11 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 86% of the way from the low to the high of the last 352 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many TRUMP is 1 FF?

1 FF is worth 0.0747713 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the FF/TRUMP range?

Over the last 352 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.0143768 (06.11.2025) and 0.0842157 (10.09.2026).

Are FF and TRUMP correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between FF and TRUMP is 0.29, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the FF/TRUMP spread z-score now?

The z-score is 2.04 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is FF/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.29, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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