CELO / TRX ratio and spread
1 CELO = 0.248296 TRX. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is -1.886 and the correlation between the legs is 0.28.
If you hold CELO · If you hold TRX
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Key numbers
over 398 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The fitted hedge ratio is negative: over the window CELO and TRX moved in opposite directions. A pair trade assumes the legs move together, so this combination does not qualify as one.
The spread is at -0.30 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.
Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 41 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 6% of the way from the low to the high of the last 398 daily candles.
When this happened before
Over 219 daily candles the spread of this pair has never left ±2σ: CELO and TRX stayed closer to each other than most pairs do. A divergence worth waiting for has simply not happened here yet.
A divergence here is the spread z-score leaving ±2σ; the return is the first value back inside ±0.5σ. Two thresholds rather than one: otherwise chatter right at the border would count as a dozen separate divergences. The first bars of the window are skipped — there z is computed on partial history.
Frequently asked
How many TRX is 1 CELO?
1 CELO is worth 0.248296 TRX at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the CELO/TRX range?
Over the last 398 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.176521 (18.08.2026) and 1.43968 (06.10.2025).
Are CELO and TRX correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between CELO and TRX is 0.28, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the CELO/TRX spread z-score now?
The z-score is -0.30 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is CELO/TRX suitable for a pair trade?
No. The fitted hedge ratio is negative, meaning the legs moved in opposite directions over the window — the market-neutral construction that pair trading relies on does not hold here.
How often do CELO and TRX diverge?
Never over 219 daily candles: the spread of this pair has not left ±2σ.
Related pairs
Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.