PAIR.TRADING
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0.3978202 VIRTUAL
TRX = 0.3358 USDT
VIRTUAL = 0.8441 USDT

TRX / VIRTUAL ratio and spread

1 TRX = 0.3978202 VIRTUAL. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is -0.072 and the correlation between the legs is 0.33.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 0.52 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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If you hold TRX · If you hold VIRTUAL

Hedge ratio β -0.072
Spread z-score 0.52
Percentile, 1.0 y 39
Correlation 0.33
Half-life 33.4 1d
β is negative: the legs moved in opposite directions, so this does not work as a pair.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.39782
Change 1d-8.65%
Change 7d-5.61%
Change 30d-15.88%
Period high0.620175
Period low0.15685
Hedge ratio β-0.072
Spread z-score0.52
Correlation0.33
Half-life33 d

over 371 daily candles

What the numbers say

The fitted hedge ratio is negative: over the window TRX and VIRTUAL moved in opposite directions. A pair trade assumes the legs move together, so this combination does not qualify as one.

The spread is at 0.52 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 33 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 52% of the way from the low to the high of the last 371 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many VIRTUAL is 1 TRX?

1 TRX is worth 0.39782 VIRTUAL at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the TRX/VIRTUAL range?

Over the last 371 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.15685 (01.11.2025) and 0.620175 (09.07.2026).

Are TRX and VIRTUAL correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between TRX and VIRTUAL is 0.33, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the TRX/VIRTUAL spread z-score now?

The z-score is 0.52 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is TRX/VIRTUAL suitable for a pair trade?

No. The fitted hedge ratio is negative, meaning the legs moved in opposite directions over the window — the market-neutral construction that pair trading relies on does not hold here.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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