PAIR.TRADING
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0.4085784 RUNE
TRX = 0.3334 USDT
RUNE = 0.816 USDT

TRX / RUNE ratio and spread

1 TRX = 0.4085784 RUNE. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is -0.194 and the correlation between the legs is 0.46.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 2.03 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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If you hold TRX · If you hold RUNE

Hedge ratio β -0.194
Spread z-score 2.03
Percentile, 6.1 y 87
Correlation 0.46
Half-life 257.7 1d
β is negative: the legs moved in opposite directions, so this does not work as a pair.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.408578
Change 1d-20.89%
Change 7d-33.21%
Change 30d-37.45%
Period high0.991743
Period low0.00547606
Hedge ratio β-0.194
Spread z-score2.03
Correlation0.46
Half-life258 d

over 2215 daily candles

What the numbers say

The fitted hedge ratio is negative: over the window TRX and RUNE moved in opposite directions. A pair trade assumes the legs move together, so this combination does not qualify as one.

The spread currently sits at 2.03 standard deviations above its rolling mean — TRX is expensive relative to RUNE by the standards of this window.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 258 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 41% of the way from the low to the high of the last 2215 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many RUNE is 1 TRX?

1 TRX is worth 0.408578 RUNE at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the TRX/RUNE range?

Over the last 2215 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.00547606 (28.05.2021) and 0.991743 (06.06.2026).

Are TRX and RUNE correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between TRX and RUNE is 0.46, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the TRX/RUNE spread z-score now?

The z-score is 2.03 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is TRX/RUNE suitable for a pair trade?

No. The fitted hedge ratio is negative, meaning the legs moved in opposite directions over the window — the market-neutral construction that pair trading relies on does not hold here.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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