PAIR.TRADING

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6.245 GENIUS

TRUMP = 2.109 USDT
GENIUS = 0.338 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

TRUMP / GENIUS ratio and spread

1 TRUMP = 6.245 GENIUS. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is -0.043 and the correlation between the legs is -0.03.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 0.57 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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Hedge ratio β -0.043
Spread z-score 0.57
Correlation -0.03
Half-life 12.4 1d
β is negative: the legs moved in opposite directions, so this does not work as a pair.

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Key numbers

Current ratio6.24519
Change 1d-0.89%
Change 7d-8.63%
Change 30d25.31%
Period high10.6417
Period low2.39946
Hedge ratio β-0.043
Spread z-score0.57
Correlation-0.03
Half-life12 d

over 120 daily candles

What the numbers say

The fitted hedge ratio is negative: over the window TRUMP and GENIUS moved in opposite directions. A pair trade assumes the legs move together, so this combination does not qualify as one.

The spread is at 0.57 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 12 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 47% of the way from the low to the high of the last 120 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many GENIUS is 1 TRUMP?

1 TRUMP is worth 6.24519 GENIUS at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the TRUMP/GENIUS range?

Over the last 120 daily candles the ratio traded between 2.39946 (28.05.2026) and 10.6417 (29.08.2026).

Are TRUMP and GENIUS correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between TRUMP and GENIUS is -0.03, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the TRUMP/GENIUS spread z-score now?

The z-score is 0.57 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is TRUMP/GENIUS suitable for a pair trade?

No. The fitted hedge ratio is negative, meaning the legs moved in opposite directions over the window — the market-neutral construction that pair trading relies on does not hold here.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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