PAIR.TRADING

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0.0020682 TRUMP

F = 0.004246 USDT
TRUMP = 2.053 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

F / TRUMP ratio and spread

1 F = 0.0020682 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.741 and the correlation between the legs is 0.37.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is 2.59 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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Hedge ratio β 0.741
Spread z-score 2.59
Correlation 0.37
Half-life 8.1 1d
The spread is beyond +2σ: historically such a divergence closed in about 8 days.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.00206819
Change 1d25.92%
Change 7d22.65%
Change 30d27.30%
Period high0.0047337
Period low0.000944293
Hedge ratio β0.741
Spread z-score2.59
Correlation0.37
Half-life8 d

over 330 daily candles

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.37. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread currently sits at 2.59 standard deviations above its rolling mean — F is expensive relative to TRUMP by the standards of this window.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 8 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits mid-range — 30% of the way from the low to the high of the last 330 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many TRUMP is 1 F?

1 F is worth 0.00206819 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the F/TRUMP range?

Over the last 330 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.000944293 (22.08.2026) and 0.0047337 (25.10.2025).

Are F and TRUMP correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between F and TRUMP is 0.37, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the F/TRUMP spread z-score now?

The z-score is 2.59 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is F/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.37, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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