NIL / PAXG ratio and spread
1 NIL = 2.7E-5 PAXG. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is -5.516 and the correlation between the legs is 0.06.
If you hold NIL · If you hold PAXG
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Key numbers
over 551 daily candles
How each of these is computed: regression spread, hedge ratio, spread z-score, half-life, correlation.
What the numbers say
The fitted hedge ratio is negative: over the window NIL and PAXG moved in opposite directions. A pair trade assumes the legs move together, so this combination does not qualify as one.
The spread is at 1.75 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.
Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 29 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.
The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 6% of the way from the low to the high of the last 551 daily candles.
Frequently asked
How many PAXG is 1 NIL?
1 NIL is worth 0.000027017987824131 PAXG at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.
What is the NIL/PAXG range?
Over the last 551 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.000007177678052723 (13.04.2026) and 0.00031949 (24.03.2025).
Are NIL and PAXG correlated?
The correlation of daily log returns between NIL and PAXG is 0.06, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.
What is the NIL/PAXG spread z-score now?
The z-score is 1.75 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.
Is NIL/PAXG suitable for a pair trade?
No. The fitted hedge ratio is negative, meaning the legs moved in opposite directions over the window — the market-neutral construction that pair trading relies on does not hold here.
All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.