PAIR.TRADING

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0.2529917 AR

FIL = 1.0909 USDT
AR = 4.312 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

FIL / AR ratio and spread

1 FIL = 0.2529917 AR. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.832 and the correlation between the legs is 0.81.

Set an alert on this pair The spread z-score is -2.56 right now. Get a message when it reaches your level — instead of watching the chart.
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Hedge ratio β 0.832
Spread z-score -2.56
Correlation 0.81
Half-life 32.8 1d
The spread is beyond −2σ: historically such a divergence closed in about 33 days.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.252992
Change 1d-20.08%
Change 7d-17.00%
Change 30d-33.00%
Period high0.626061
Period low0.252592
Hedge ratio β0.832
Spread z-score-2.56
Correlation0.81
Half-life33 d

over 356 daily candles

What the numbers say

The legs move closely together — correlation of daily log returns is 0.81. The fitted hedge ratio is 0.83, meaning roughly 0.83 units of AR exposure balance one unit of FIL.

The spread currently sits at -2.56 standard deviations from its rolling mean — FIL is cheap relative to AR by the standards of this window.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 33 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 0% of the way from the low to the high of the last 356 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many AR is 1 FIL?

1 FIL is worth 0.252992 AR at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the FIL/AR range?

Over the last 356 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.252592 (05.09.2026) and 0.626061 (01.03.2026).

Are FIL and AR correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between FIL and AR is 0.81, which counts as a strong link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the FIL/AR spread z-score now?

The z-score is -2.56 — the spread is stretched beyond two standard deviations. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is FIL/AR suitable for a pair trade?

The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.81 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 33 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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